After another round of January Board of Directors and Stationary Source Committee meetings, BAAQMD remains committed to the timeline for a May 2017 vote on Rule 12-16, the refinery emissions cap. The challenge through May is to keep up momentum for Rule 12-16 adoption and not get distracted by the latest proposal introduced as an alternative.
Staff introduced a concept paper for a new approach in Rule 13-1, a refinery greenhouse gas (GHG) cap based on emission intensity, which is the amount of CO2 emitted per barrel of oil processed. Although staff presented a timeline for August 2017 adoption of the rule, the concept paper states that the rule would only include a methodology for calculating the emission intensity. Actual cap values would come at some unspecified point in 2018.
In concept, an emission intensity limit could also prevent refineries from transitioning to more energy intensive and polluting tar sands for their crude supply. Given the complete lack of any detail for the emission intensity approach and the vagueness of its timeline, however, it is difficult to make a thorough assessment of the value of such an approach. Again, a key issue remains instituting a cap on emissions as quickly as possible, in order to set a baseline on emissions today. The longer we wait to establish a baseline, the more time refineries have to complete high-value, large-scale infrastructure projects required to process tar sands. Delays on setting a baseline will lock in these projects for decades, setting the course for higher emission baselines once a cap is actually implemented.
It must also be noted that Rule 13-1 only addresses GHG emissions: it does not place any restrictions on particulate matter or toxic (sulfur and nitrogen oxides) emissions. Thus it relies on using GHG restrictions as a stand-in to limit increases in combustion products that have a direct and immediate local health impact on frontline communities. This is somewhat amusing, as the Technical Advisory Committee had continued to critique Rule 12-16 on just such a basis (repeatably ignoring the fact that 12-16 included direct restrictions on particulate matter).
Staff had actually briefly raised the proposal of an emissions intensity cap last year, then abruptly dropped the issue due to the refineries’ refusal to release “proprietary” throughput data. So any consideration of such an approach must include complete public transparency on all refinery throughput data used in any calculation of emission intensity values.
The approach of Rule 13-1 should be evaluated as a complement or alternative to Rule 12-16, as part of the Environmental Impact Report required for Rule 12-16. In reality, a combination of the two approaches might be the strongest way to prevent future increases in GHG, particulate and toxic emissions by refineries. An emissions intensity cap restricts transition to tar sands, independently of the throughput level of the refineries. Theoretically, under Rule 12-16’s total emissions cap, if refineries reduced total throughput, they could go to a higher emissions per barrel crude slate. On the other hand, an intensity cap places no restrictions on the throughput level of the refineries. Even as California demand for fossil fuels falls in the future, as we achieve our overall GHG reduction goals, refineries could maintain or increase total throughput for export, making California the “Gas Station for the Pacific.” A total emissions cap would prevent this. Thus, the ideal situation may be some combination of the two approaches.
As of today, Stationary Source Committee and Board of Directors meetings for February are cancelled. That leaves March as the next critical time—when the Board has committed to release the Draft Rule, EIR and Socioeconomic reports for Rule 12-16. Our demands at this point are simple:
- Meet all timeline commitments for release of Rule 12-16.
- Consider impacts of an emissions intensity approach under the required evaluation of alternatives within the EIR of Rule 12-16.
- Commit to an accessible time and place for meetings in frontline refinery communities to respond to the March releases of Rule 12-16.
We are now in the final push toward the end of this four-year campaign for refinery emissions caps. Ongoing work to expand community support and educate newly elected Board members will be critical in coming months. Between the victory of No Coal in Oakland and our forthcoming refinery emissions cap, we can send a message to the entire nation: whatever fantasies the Trump administration has to expand coal and tar sands production, these dirty fossil fuels will not come into California refineries and ports!
Key Upcoming Dates:
- Mar 3 2017 – Release of rules, staff analysis, socioeconomic analysis
- May 17, 2017 – Board hearing and vote on final rules
Sign the petition for refinery emissions caps here.
Ongoing City Council Resolutions Support Work
To ensure that the Board doesn’t fall further behind—and votes YES on the proposal next May—we are mobilizing a grassroots campaign in the entire nine-county Bay Area to encourage city councils to pass resolutions supporting caps on refinery emissions.
Thus far the city councils of Belmont, Berkeley, El Cerrito, Emeryville, Fairfax, Hayward, Oakland, Richmond, San Pablo, San Rafael and San Francisco have endorsed our call for rapid completion of rules for emission caps. This is citizen democracy at its most basic: community residents stepping up to demand their elected representatives act to protect their health and safety. It will take a majority of the 24-member Board of Directors of BAAQMD to vote and pass the regulation limiting refinery emissions.
Gathering support resolutions from city councils and other elected bodies in their districts is the best way to make sure that BAAQMD Board members do their job and protect our communities. Dozens of elected bodies remain to be contacted. We need members of all communities to bring this resolution to their local elected bodies. Join us at our bi-monthly meetings! Contact: sunflowerjsj at gmail.com.
2nd and 4th Thursdays of every month, 11 AM – 12 PM
Bobby Bowens Progressive Center
2540 Macdonald Ave.
Richmond (10-minute walk from BART, across from Richmond Civic Center)
For more information about the Community–Worker Proposal, the city council resolution, public health impacts of refinery emissions, and a support letter from United Steel Workers Local 5 (which represents 80% of Bay Area refinery workers), check out these documents:
THE STORY BEHIND THIS CAMPAIGN
Four years. Endless meetings. Hundreds, if not thousands of public comments. Then finally last June, overcoming opposition by BAAQMD staff, the Board of Directors unanimously voted to set a date, May 2017, to vote on the Community–Worker proposal to cap refinery emissions at their current level.
But there was a catch. The caps proposal was paired with a staff proposal for a massive program to reduce emissions at all industrial facilities. That’s a worthy goal, but the process could take up to ten years. Unless refinery emissions are capped at their current level, air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions could rise disastrously while that lengthy process is carried out.
The staff proposal was another effort by the BAAQMD bureaucracy to delay and divert attention from our caps proposal. The staff counter-proposed a plan to do a Health Risk Assessment (HRA) on all industrial sources of pollution. This means doing a detailed analysis of the potential health impacts of various amounts of each chemical in the pollution emitted by every industrial facility in the Bay Area.
The positive aspect of the staff proposal is that it would set a stricter standard for protecting health. A Health Risk Assessment (HRA) calculates how many deaths per million would be caused by exposure to different amounts of each chemical. The current standard is that exposure should not cause more than 100 deaths per million people. The new rules would bring this down, first to 25 deaths per million and then to 10 deaths per million—among the strictest levels in the nation. Industrial facilities would be required to install “Best Available Retrofit Control Technology” (BARCT) to bring their emissions down to these levels.
However, the entire process—doing an extensive HRA, determining and agreeing on needed retrofits, installing them, demonstrating their efficacy, remediating retrofits that don’t achieve necessary goals—could easily take five to ten years or even longer. Moreover, this process must be done on a case-by-case basis for thousands of individual industrial pollution sources. Without a cap in place, refinery emissions will inevitably increase during these extended studies.
BAAQMD Staff continues to oppose the refinery emissions cap, supporting the fossil-fuel industry’s false claims that:
- The cap is not legal because BAAQMD must allow refineries to offset increased emissions with emission credits from anywhere in the nine-county air district.
- The cap is not legal because BAAQMD cannot single out refineries for emissions controls.
- The cap will result in gasoline shortages and higher gasoline prices.
The board set a specific schedule for the work on the two proposals:
- A Notice of Preparation (NOP) of the Environmental Impact Report (EIR) and draft regulation would be released by August 19 and October 15, 2016 respectively, with public workshops and comments completed by December. All community-based public workshops on rule 12-16 were canceled, workshops were only held on Rule 11-18
- Draft EIR, socioeconomic analysis, staff report and final regulatory language for both proposals would be released by March 3, 2017.
- Required public meetings and comment periods would be completed by April 19, 2017.
- Board of Directors would vote by May 17, 2017.
The Board has committed to monitor progress. It agreed to separate the two rules, as we have been demanding all along, if combining the two regulations were to delay adoption of the emissions cap. At the December 2016 Board of Directors meeting, the Board demanded and received a commitment from Jack Broadbent, that regardless of the status of Rule 11-18, the refinery emissions cap would be brought to a vote in May. This avoided the need to call for a vote on separation of the rules.
In addition to delaying tactics from its own staff, the BAAQMD Board faces strong opposition from the Western States Petroleum Association and other oil industry groups. Without intense, continual public pressure, the Board could give in to pressure from Big Oil for more delay and reject this critical proposal when it comes up for a vote.
This is why a coalition of organizations—including the Sierra Club, Communities for a Better Environment, Sunflower Alliance, 350 Bay Area, Asian Pacific Environmental Network, Richmond Progressive Alliance, and others—has launched this major grassroots campaign to let the Bay Area Air Quality Management District know: The people of the Bay Area demand caps on pollution from oil refineries!